Wednesday, February 6, 2008
Why is Oprah Obama Winfrey Smiling?
If you had asked me two weeks ago what the races for the Democratic and Republican nomination would look like this morning after what I was figuring would be a dramatic Super Tuesday, I would have told you that the Democratic race would be over and the Republican race would be too close to call. I would have stated with some glumness that Whitewater Hillary would be running away with the nomination and that the Big Three shysters of McCain, Romney, and Huckabee in a close race (with Huckabee nearing the end of the line). Instead, we wake up to find that Whitewater Hillary and Obama Winfrey preparing for a drawn out and expensive race. Oprah Obama won 13 states to Hillary's eight. The delegate count (a convoluted sinkhole of a system) extremely close. I had expected that Mrs. Clinton would break-away from Obama and go on a money and time cruise control. It did not happen. Now, Whitewater has had to dip into her own personal slush fund ($5 million) to assist her campaign slush fund. Nothing wrong with this move, but it signals trouble for her as she has cruised with money only from her campaign fund raising up to now. Clinton only raised $13 million this past month to Oprah Obama Winfrey's $32 million. When your opponent is raising more than twice as much money as you then you are sinking (or at least on the verge). Obama is surging now. His message is becoming clearer, more energizing, and more distinct from Hillary's. Obama is appealing to the true core of the Democratic party. He is showing himself as a semi-liberal Democrat and his opposite of the US position in Iraq resonates with his party. His message of the need for change is louder and clearer than Whitewater's murky centrist message that her husband rode so success in the last decade. The message is the key. Obama truly represents the prospect of a new order. Clinton's message is conveying an old message from 1992 as opposed to a much needed message for 2008. Her campaign tactics are the same as her husband's in 1992. I will expect a major change in her campaign team in the coming weeks when her desperate attempt to get $3 million in the next three days from her supporters fails.
You have to admire the political resiliency of John McCain. After a disaster of a campaign in 2000 and predictions of total humiliating failure in 2008 he is well on his way to the GOP nomination. Reports indicate that it will be impossible for Shyster Romney and Father Shyster Huckabee to catch him. I am not even sure McCain himself would have predicted this to happen. McCain is benefiting from what I will further call the Asterisk Effect. This phenomena occurs when the President has pissed everyone in his own party off (as well as everybody else in the country) to the point that any candidate that reminds the party of the President will be rolled by anyone who can sufficiently separate themselves from them. This is what is occurring for McCain now. He has positioned himself as a centrist moderate Republican versus the nearly insanely conservative candidates Romney and Huckabee. The party masses alienated by President Asterisk and not willing to jump party affiliation see McCain has a hew hope and are aligning with him. I am still not clear as to what Huckabee stands for beyond giving AK-47 rifles to the severely emotionally disturbed children who will never receive services under his reign in front of a schoolhouse. He appears as a "Joe Six Pack" Republican that was appealing when Asterisk was running in 2000. It appears to be working to a point...except when you look at the numbers. Huckabee won four states. One of them was West Virginia. He won that state with only 571 votes. Hardly a ringing victory. I actually feel a little sorry for Shyster Romney. Mitt was a centrist moderate Republican governor in the Mass. He then flip-flopped to look like a ultra conservative Republican just like Asterisk. I wonder if he had just stayed true to himself where he would be now. He has dumped $20 million of his own fortune to make himself look like a TV anchor talking head Republican only to see that his old message being rung by McCain to an easy victory for the GOP nomination. Harsh expensive lesson, but he really deserves it for not being true to his own political chops.
We have the home stretch coming up. Shyster McCain on cruise control and Oprah Obama surging and political gambling degenerates like myself are licking their wounds.
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